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Ligue 1 · MW6 Stade Louis-II, MonacoRef: Ruddy Buquet
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Monaco 2-2 Toulouse result, stats and report

Monaco
Drew · xG 1.27
2 – 2
FT 05:45
Drew · xG 1.46
Toulouse
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Monaco v Nordsjælland · Thu 5 Nov · Toulouse v Strasbourg · Fri 6 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MonacoToulouseLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Monaco win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.8%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Monaco
55.8%
Draw
23.1%
Toulouse
21.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.3%
Over 2.5 goals
57.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Monaco win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

56%
23%
21%
55.8%Monaco
23.1%Draw
21.1%Toulouse

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.3%No 43.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.1%No 42.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.5%
2-1
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
2-2
5.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Monaco or draw at 60.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.7%.

Double Chance

1X
60.5%
12
5.5%
X2
34.0%

Half-Time Result

Monaco
40.3%
Draw
40.8%
Toulouse
18.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Monaco
Draw
Toulouse
Monaco
33.9%
4.7%
2.1%
Draw
18.0%
14.6%
7.0%
Toulouse
3.5%
5.0%
11.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.7%
No
88.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.