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Ligue 1 · MW2 Stade Louis-II, MonacoRef: Willy Delajod
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Monaco 2-0 Marseille result, stats and report

Monaco
Won · xG 1.14
2 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 1.87
Marseille
Next: CSKA Sofia v Monaco · Thu 15 Oct · Troyes v Marseille · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MonacoMarseilleLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Monaco win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Monaco
40.7%
Draw
22.8%
Marseille
36.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
65.5%
Over 2.5 goals
66.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
23%
37%
40.7%Monaco
22.8%Draw
36.6%Marseille

Both Teams to Score

66%
Yes 65.5%No 34.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

66%
Yes 66.1%No 33.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
85%
Over 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
45%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.2%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
0-1
5.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Monaco or draw at 52.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.4%.

Double Chance

1X
52.5%
12
4.1%
X2
43.4%

Half-Time Result

Monaco
31.8%
Draw
39.5%
Marseille
28.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Monaco
Draw
Marseille
Monaco
22.6%
5.7%
3.1%
Draw
12.6%
13.9%
12.3%
Marseille
3.3%
4.6%
21.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.4%
No
88.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.