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Ligue 1 · Fri, 18 Sept 2026, 19:45 KO Stade Louis-II, Monaco

Monaco vs Lens prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
18 Sept
Monaco 44%Draw 24%Lens 32%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

MonacoLensLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Monaco win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.1%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

Monaco
44.1%
Draw
24.1%
Lens
31.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
64.0%
Over 2.5 goals
64.2%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
24%
32%
44.1%Monaco
24.1%Draw
31.8%Lens

Both Teams to Score

64%
Yes 64.0%No 36.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

64%
Yes 64.2%No 35.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
43%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-0
5.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Monaco or draw at 51.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.2%.

Double Chance

1X
51.4%
12
4.2%
X2
44.5%

Half-Time Result

Monaco
34.2%
Draw
38.1%
Lens
27.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Monaco
Draw
Lens
Monaco
25.4%
5.8%
2.8%
Draw
12.8%
14.8%
9.7%
Lens
2.7%
6.0%
19.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.2%
No
88.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.