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League One · MW10Ref: Matthew Corlett
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Milton Keynes Dons 1-5 Reading result, stats and report

Milton Keynes Dons
Lost · xG 0.93
1 – 5
FT 05:25
Won · xG 2.76
Reading
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Milton Keynes Dons v Bromley · Tue 27 Oct · Plymouth Argyle v Reading · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Milton Keynes DonsReadingLeague One

The provider forecast gives Milton Keynes Dons win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MKD
44.8%
Draw
29.3%
RDG
26.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.5%
Over 2.5 goals
42.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Milton Keynes Dons win was the highest probability; the match result was Reading win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
29%
26%
44.8%MKD
29.3%Draw
26.0%RDG

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 47.5%No 52.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

42%
Yes 42.4%No 57.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
23%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
13.1%
1-1
12.8%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MKD or draw at 51.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.5%.

Double Chance

1X
51.1%
12
10.7%
X2
38.2%

Half-Time Result

MKD
34.7%
Draw
42.7%
RDG
22.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MKD
Draw
RDG
MKD
28.1%
6.1%
1.8%
Draw
15.5%
16.2%
9.9%
RDG
2.7%
4.8%
14.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.5%
No
94.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.