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League One · MW11Ref: M. Coy
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Milton Keynes Dons 2-1 Luton Town result, stats and report

Milton Keynes Dons
Won · xG 1.43
2 – 1
FT 05:55
Lost · xG 2.40
Luton Town
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town · Sat 7 Nov · Luton Town v Forest Green Rovers · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Milton Keynes DonsLuton TownLeague One

The provider forecast gives Milton Keynes Dons win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MKD
40.7%
Draw
25.5%
LUT
33.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.4%
Over 2.5 goals
56.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Milton Keynes Dons win was the highest probability; the match result was Milton Keynes Dons win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
26%
34%
40.7%MKD
25.5%Draw
33.8%LUT

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 59.4%No 40.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 56.7%No 43.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MKD or draw at 49.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.1%.

Double Chance

1X
49.1%
12
5.8%
X2
45.1%

Half-Time Result

MKD
30.6%
Draw
41.4%
LUT
28.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MKD
Draw
LUT
MKD
22.8%
5.2%
2.9%
Draw
12.6%
15.1%
11.8%
LUT
2.4%
5.5%
21.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.1%
No
92.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.