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EFL Championship · MW3 Riverside Stadium, MiddlesbroughRef: Paul Tierney
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Middlesbrough 3-1 West Brom result, stats and report

Middlesbrough
Won · xG 0.92
3 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.49
West Brom
Next: Middlesbrough v Wolves · Sat 10 Oct · West Brom v Birmingham · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MiddlesbroughWest BromEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Middlesbrough win the highest 1X2 probability at 50.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Middlesbrough
50.6%
Draw
25.0%
West Brom
24.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.6%
Over 2.5 goals
52.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

51%
25%
24%
50.6%Middlesbrough
25.0%Draw
24.4%West Brom

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 52.6%No 47.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.0%No 48.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
10.2%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Middlesbrough or draw at 57.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.6%.

Double Chance

1X
57.5%
12
6.8%
X2
35.7%

Half-Time Result

Middlesbrough
37.8%
Draw
42.1%
West Brom
20.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Middlesbrough
Draw
West Brom
Middlesbrough
31.9%
4.5%
2.0%
Draw
18.3%
15.1%
8.0%
West Brom
2.8%
4.8%
12.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.6%
No
91.4%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.