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UEFA Europa League · MW2 Stade Orange Vélodrome, MarseilleRef: Michael Oliver
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos F.C. result, stats and report

Marseille
Lost · xG 0.79
0 – 1
FT 06:35
Won · xG 0.71
Olympiacos F.C.
Next: Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille · Thu 5 Nov · Rennes v Olympiacos F.C. · Wed 4 Nov
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Who won Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C.?

Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos F.C., full time in the UEFA Europa League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which did not land.

How it played out

OLY won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 06:35Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Marseille 0–1 Olympiacos F.C.

Olympiacos claimed a deserved victory at the Vélodrome thanks to Santiago Hezze's first-half header, as Marseille dominated possession and territory but failed to convert two big chances in a performance that will infuriate anyone who demands accountability from their football team.

Key Takeaways
Result

Olympiacos F.C. won 1-0 away at Marseille.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
S
42'⚽
Santiago Hezze
CAssist: Chiquinho
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Marseille 0.79 xGOlympiacos F.C. 0.71 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Olympiacos F.C. to win

43%Matched

Result

Marseille0:1Olympiacos F.C.

Marseille v OLY

Our model called Olympiacos F.C. to win at 43%. Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos F.C.. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Olympiacos won 1-0 at Marseille in the Europa League, with Santiago Hezze scoring in the 42nd minute. Our model favored Olympiacos at 43 percent probability, and the pick landed. Marseille offered little in attack; the hosts managed no goals across their last five matches, while Olympiacos arrived unbeaten in their recent run. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Marseille v Olympiacos F.C. · UEFA Europa League ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Stefan OrtegaOLY★ MOTM90 min7.8
  2. Igor PaixãoMarseille90 min7.8
  3. Manolis SaliakasOLY90 min7.4
  4. Timothy WeahMarseille90 min7.3
  5. Angel GomesMarseille75 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Olympiacos F.C. win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Marseille
34.2%
Draw
22.4%
OLY
43.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.0%
Over 2.5 goals
60.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Olympiacos F.C. win was the highest probability; the match result was Olympiacos F.C. win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Olympiacos F.C., the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 4 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Olympiacos F.C., the final recorded goal situation matched 10 comparable matches from 63 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Marseille, the final recorded goal situation matched 2 comparable matches from 4 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Marseille, the final recorded goal situation matched 8 comparable matches from 45 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 18league matches at home unbeaten for Marseille.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Marseille scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Olympiacos F.C. scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Marseille have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Olympiacos F.C. have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Keyliane Abdallah has the highest listed average xGOT for Marseille at 0.66 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C.?
    OLY beat Marseille 1-0 in the UEFA Europa League at Stade Orange Vélodrome.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Santiago Hezze opened the scoring in the 42nd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Santiago Hezze (42').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Michael Oliver officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Marseille vs OLY kicked off on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time at Stade Orange Vélodrome.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Marseille play Bayer Leverkusen on Thursday, 5 November 2026 UK time. OLY play Rennes on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.