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Liga Portugal · MW8Ref: João António Ferreira Gonçalves
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Marítimo 1-2 Porto result, stats and report

Marítimo
Lost · xG 0.20
1 – 2
FT 07:35
Won · xG 2.32
Porto
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Estoril v Marítimo · Sun 8 Nov · Vitória Guimarães v Porto · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MarítimoPortoLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Porto win the highest 1X2 probability at 62.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

CSM
15.1%
Draw
22.3%
POR
62.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
45.9%
Over 2.5 goals
49.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Porto win was the highest probability; the match result was Porto win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

15%
22%
63%
15.1%CSM
22.3%Draw
62.6%POR

Both Teams to Score

46%
Yes 45.9%No 54.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.9%No 50.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
13.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-0
7.4%
0-3
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates POR or draw at 63.7%; the most likely half-time state is POR leading at half-time at 43.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 0.9%.

Double Chance

1X
28.9%
12
7.4%
X2
63.7%

Half-Time Result

CSM
13.9%
Draw
42.9%
POR
43.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
CSM
Draw
POR
CSM
8.1%
3.5%
3.3%
Draw
6.0%
14.9%
20.3%
POR
1.0%
5.0%
37.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
0.9%
No
99.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.