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League One · MW3Ref: Richard Eley
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Mansfield Town 5-2 Luton Town result, stats and report

Mansfield Town
Won · xG 2.01
5 – 2
FT
Lost · xG 1.74
Luton Town
Next: Wigan Athletic v Mansfield Town · Tue 3 Nov · Huddersfield Town v Luton Town · Tue 3 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Mansfield TownLuton TownLeague One

The provider forecast gives Luton Town win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MSF
36.5%
Draw
24.4%
LUT
39.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.6%
Over 2.5 goals
61.3%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
24%
39%
36.5%MSF
24.4%Draw
39.1%LUT

Both Teams to Score

63%
Yes 62.6%No 37.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.3%No 38.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
1-0
6.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LUT or draw at 51.7%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.8%.

Double Chance

1X
43.8%
12
4.5%
X2
51.7%

Half-Time Result

MSF
28.4%
Draw
38.9%
LUT
32.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MSF
Draw
LUT
MSF
20.0%
5.1%
3.1%
Draw
11.2%
14.5%
12.5%
LUT
2.6%
5.8%
25.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.8%
No
93.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.