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UEFA Champions League · MW3 Etihad Stadium, ManchesterRef: Willy Delajod
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Manchester City 5-1 AEK Athens result, stats and report

Manchester City
Won · xG 2.21
5 – 1
FT 06:45
Lost · xG 0.44
AEK Athens
Next: Manchester City v Fulham · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Manchester CityAEK AthensUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Manchester City win the highest 1X2 probability at 54.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Manchester City
54.8%
Draw
22.9%
AEK
22.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.0%
Over 2.5 goals
52.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Manchester City win was the highest probability; the match result was Manchester City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

55%
23%
22%
54.8%Manchester City
22.9%Draw
22.3%AEK

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.0%No 51.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.5%No 47.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
6.9%
3-0
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Manchester City or draw at 52.2%; the most likely half-time state is Manchester City leading at half-time at 37.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.9%.

Double Chance

1X
52.2%
12
6.9%
X2
40.8%

Half-Time Result

Manchester City
37.3%
Draw
36.7%
AEK
26.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Manchester City
Draw
AEK
Manchester City
31.5%
3.6%
2.9%
Draw
14.9%
13.5%
7.7%
AEK
2.6%
5.3%
18.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.9%
No
89.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.