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La Liga · MW9Ref: Lluís Bestard Servera
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Málaga 2-5 Real Sociedad result, stats and report

Málaga
Lost · xG 1.68
2 – 5
FT 03:45
Won · xG 2.08
Real Sociedad
Next: Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MálagaReal SociedadLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Málaga win the highest 1X2 probability at 37.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MLA
37.0%
Draw
28.9%
Real Sociedad
34.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.5%
Over 2.5 goals
48.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Málaga win was the highest probability; the match result was Real Sociedad win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

37%
29%
34%
37.0%MLA
28.9%Draw
34.1%Real Sociedad

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.5%No 45.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 48.3%No 51.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
72%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Real Sociedad or draw at 46.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.9%.

Double Chance

1X
45.0%
12
8.6%
X2
46.4%

Half-Time Result

MLA
31.1%
Draw
41.1%
Real Sociedad
27.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MLA
Draw
Real Sociedad
MLA
22.9%
5.5%
3.1%
Draw
14.4%
15.6%
11.3%
Real Sociedad
2.6%
6.7%
18.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.9%
No
95.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.