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2. Bundesliga ยท MW3Ref: Jarno Wienefeld
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Magdeburg 2-0 Holstein Kiel result, stats and report

Magdeburg
Won ยท xG 0.35
2 โ€“ 0
FT
Lost ยท xG 1.15
Holstein Kiel
Next: Magdeburg v Hannover 96 ยท Sat 10 Oct ยท Eintracht Braunschweig v Holstein Kiel ยท Fri 9 Oct
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

MagdeburgHolstein Kiel2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Holstein Kiel win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

MAG
37.9%
Draw
24.1%
HKI
38.0%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
58.7%
Over 2.5 goals
57.0%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
24%
38%
37.9%MAG
24.1%Draw
38.0%HKI

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 58.7%No 41.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.0%No 43.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-2
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MAG or draw at 52.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.4%.

Double Chance

1X
52.9%
12
5.4%
X2
41.7%

Half-Time Result

MAG
33.1%
Draw
38.9%
HKI
27.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
MAG
Draw
HKI
MAG
24.9%
5.1%
3.2%
Draw
13.8%
14.6%
10.6%
HKI
2.8%
5.1%
19.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.4%
No
93.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.