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Ligue 1 ยท MW3 Groupama Stadium, Dรฉcines-CharpieuRef: Ruddy Buquet
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lyon 3-1 Auxerre result, stats and report

Lyon
Won ยท xG 1.22
3 โ€“ 1
FT
Lost ยท xG 0.38
Auxerre
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Lens v Lyon ยท Fri 9 Oct ยท Rennes v Auxerre ยท Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LyonAuxerreLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Lyon win the highest 1X2 probability at 60.9%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Lyon
60.9%
Draw
22.1%
Auxerre
17.0%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
51.1%
Over 2.5 goals
53.6%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

61%
22%
17%
60.9%Lyon
22.1%Draw
17.0%Auxerre

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 51.1%No 48.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.6%No 46.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
10.1%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lyon or draw at 65.3%; the most likely half-time state is Lyon leading at half-time at 44.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.7%.

Double Chance

1X
65.3%
12
6.6%
X2
28.1%

Half-Time Result

Lyon
44.9%
Draw
38.5%
Auxerre
16.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lyon
Draw
Auxerre
Lyon
38.5%
4.3%
1.6%
Draw
18.6%
13.7%
6.3%
Auxerre
3.6%
3.7%
9.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.7%
No
87.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.