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Swiss Super League · MW9Ref: Luca Cibelli
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Luzern 5-1 Grasshopper result, stats and report

Luzern
Won · xG 4.07
5 – 1
FT 06:35
Lost · xG 1.83
Grasshopper
Next: Zürich v Luzern · Sat 24 Oct · Basel v Grasshopper · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LuzernGrasshopperSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives Luzern win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LUZ
48.8%
Draw
22.4%
GRA
28.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
65.7%
Over 2.5 goals
64.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Luzern win was the highest probability; the match result was Luzern win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

49%
22%
29%
48.8%LUZ
22.4%Draw
28.8%GRA

Both Teams to Score

66%
Yes 65.7%No 34.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

65%
Yes 64.5%No 35.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
42%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LUZ or draw at 52.3%; the most likely half-time state is LUZ leading at half-time at 37.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.8%.

Double Chance

1X
52.3%
12
3.8%
X2
43.9%

Half-Time Result

LUZ
37.7%
Draw
36.5%
GRA
25.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LUZ
Draw
GRA
LUZ
28.6%
5.0%
3.2%
Draw
14.9%
11.3%
9.5%
GRA
3.9%
6.0%
17.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.8%
No
88.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.