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League One · MW7Ref: Ross Martin
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Luton Town 0-1 Bradford City result, stats and report

Luton Town
Lost · xG 1.15
0 – 1
FT 03:55
Won · xG 0.33
Bradford City
Next: Luton Town v Leicester · Sat 24 Oct · Oxford United v Bradford City · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Luton TownBradford CityLeague One

The provider forecast gives Luton Town win the highest 1X2 probability at 46.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LUT
46.4%
Draw
27.2%
BDC
26.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.5%
Over 2.5 goals
45.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Luton Town win was the highest probability; the match result was Bradford City win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
27%
26%
46.4%LUT
27.2%Draw
26.5%BDC

Both Teams to Score

49%
Yes 49.5%No 50.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

46%
Yes 45.8%No 54.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
24%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
0-1
8.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LUT or draw at 51.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.7%.

Double Chance

1X
51.5%
12
8.7%
X2
39.8%

Half-Time Result

LUT
32.2%
Draw
41.7%
BDC
26.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LUT
Draw
BDC
LUT
24.4%
5.9%
2.1%
Draw
15.3%
15.9%
11.2%
BDC
2.7%
5.5%
17.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.7%
No
94.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.