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Swiss Super League · MW6Ref: Hüseyin Sanli
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lugano 1-0 Servette result, stats and report

Lugano
Won · xG 0.69
1 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 1.29
Servette
Next: Lugano v Crvena Zvezda · Thu 15 Oct · Servette v Vaduz · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LuganoServetteSwiss Super League

The provider forecast gives Lugano win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LUG
47.6%
Draw
24.7%
SER
27.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.1%
Over 2.5 goals
57.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

48%
25%
28%
47.6%LUG
24.7%Draw
27.7%SER

Both Teams to Score

59%
Yes 59.1%No 40.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 57.5%No 42.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LUG or draw at 54.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.3%.

Double Chance

1X
54.8%
12
5.5%
X2
39.7%

Half-Time Result

LUG
35.5%
Draw
38.3%
SER
26.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LUG
Draw
SER
LUG
29.1%
6.3%
2.3%
Draw
16.5%
13.3%
8.1%
SER
3.4%
5.6%
15.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.3%
No
90.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.