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Ligue 1 · MW6 Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'AscqRef: Bastien Dechepy
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lille 1-0 Le Havre result, stats and report

Lille
Lille
Won · xG 0.75
1 – 0
FT 05:55
Le Havre
Lost · xG 1.48
Le Havre
Match review
Next: Lille v Lens · Fri 30 Oct · Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain · Fri 30 Oct
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Who won Lille vs Le Havre?

Lille 1-0 Le Havre, full time in Ligue 1. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

How it played out

Lille won it 1–0

LilleLe Havre

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 2 · 05:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Lille 1–0 Le Havre

Dilane Bakwa's fifth-minute goal proved enough as Lille ground out a 1-0 win over a Le Havre side who made life harder for themselves when Ayumu Seko was sent off just after the hour mark.

Ligue 1Sat 10 Oct, 16:15
Key Takeaways
Result

Lille beat Le Havre 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
D
5'⚽
Dilane Bakwa
TAssist: Tanguy Nianzou
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Lille 0.75 xGLe Havre 1.48 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Lille to win

55%Matched

Result

Lille1:0Le Havre

Lille v Le Havre

Our model called Lille to win at 55%. Lille 1-0 Le Havre. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Lille beat Le Havre 1-0 at home in Ligue 1, landing our model's 55% pick for a Lille win. Dilane Bakwa opened the scoring in the fifth minute at Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Le Havre's Ayumu Seko was sent off in the 61st minute, leaving the visitors to chase the game with ten men. Lille held firm to secure three points. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Lille v Le Havre · Ligue 1 ·

More from this competition: Ligue 1 predictions · Ligue 1 odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Rassoul NdiayeLe Havre★ MOTM90 min7.7
  2. AlexsandroLille90 min7.6
  3. Dilane Bakwa1 goal · 90 min7.5
  4. Tanguy Nianzou1 assist · 90 min7.5
  5. Simon EbonogLe Havre90 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LilleLe HavreLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Lille win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Lille
55.1%
Draw
24.9%
Le Havre
20.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.2%
Over 2.5 goals
48.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Lille win was the highest probability; the match result was Lille win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Le Havre, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 10 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Le Havre, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Lille, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 10 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Lille, the final recorded goal situation matched 27 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-1is the most common scoreline between Lille and Le Havre, landing once across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 2/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (33.3%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 43league matches at home unbeaten for Lille.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 5league matches away from home unbeaten for Le Havre.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Lille scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Le Havre scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Lille vs Le Havre?
    Lille beat Le Havre 1-0 in the Ligue 1 at Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Dilane Bakwa opened the scoring in the 5th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Dilane Bakwa (5').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Bastien Dechepy officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Lille vs Le Havre kicked off on Saturday, 10 October 2026 UK time at Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    Lille play Lens on Friday, 30 October 2026 UK time. Le Havre play Paris Saint Germain on Friday, 30 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.