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Croatian 1. HNL · MW9Ref: Patrik Pavlešić
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 Varaždin result, stats and report

0 – 1
FT 00:25
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Lokomotiva Zagreb v Hajduk Split · Sat 21 Nov · Rudeš v Varaždin · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Lokomotiva ZagrebVaraždinCroatian 1. HNL

The provider forecast gives Varaždin win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LOK
26.7%
Draw
28.0%
VAR
45.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.0%
Over 2.5 goals
52.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Varaždin win was the highest probability; the match result was Varaždin win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

27%
28%
45%
26.7%LOK
28.0%Draw
45.3%VAR

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.0%No 44.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.5%No 47.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.5%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates VAR or draw at 52.8%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.3%.

Double Chance

1X
39.3%
12
7.8%
X2
52.8%

Half-Time Result

LOK
23.4%
Draw
43.4%
VAR
33.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LOK
Draw
VAR
LOK
15.5%
5.3%
2.9%
Draw
10.3%
18.6%
14.7%
VAR
2.1%
5.5%
25.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.3%
No
96.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.