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UEFA Champions League · MW3 Anfield, LiverpoolRef: Szymon Marciniak
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal result, stats and report

Liverpool
Liverpool
Won · xG 2.33
4 – 3
FT 06:45
Villarreal
Lost · xG 1.39
Villarreal
Match review
Next: Crystal Palace v Liverpool · Sun 8 Nov · Villarreal v Getafe · Sun 8 Nov
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Who won Liverpool vs Villarreal?

Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal, full time in the UEFA Champions League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score — No, which did not land.

How it played out

Liverpool won it 4–3

LiverpoolVillarreal

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 06:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Liverpool 4–3 Villarreal

Alexis Mac Allister scored twice and Florian Wirtz added a stunning third as Liverpool came from behind twice to beat Villarreal 4-3 in a breathless Champions League encounter. Seven goals, no clean sheets, and a Villarreal side that made Liverpool work every single minute.

UEFA Champions LeagueTue 20 Oct, 20:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Liverpool beat Villarreal 4-3 at home.

Goals

7 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Liverpool 2.33 to Villarreal 1.39 on expected goals.

First Goal
G
4'⚽
Georges Mikautadze
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Liverpool 2.33 xGVillarreal 1.39 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Liverpool to win

48%Matched

Result

Liverpool4:3Villarreal

Liverpool v Villarreal

Our model called Liverpool to win at 48%. Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Liverpool beat Villarreal 4-3 at Anfield in a Champions League tie that swung repeatedly. Our model favored a Liverpool win at 48 percent probability, and the pick landed. Villarreal struck twice early through Georges Mikautadze in the fourth minute and Sergi Cardona in the twenty-ninth, but Alexis Mac Allister pulled one back for Liverpool in the thirty-sixth. The hosts added two more goals to secure the three points in an open contest. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Liverpool v Villarreal · UEFA Champions League ·

More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Alexis Mac AllisterLiverpool★ MOTM2 goals · 90 min9.1
  2. Rio NgumohaLiverpool2 assists · 74 min8.6
  3. Florian WirtzLiverpool1 goal · 44 min8.3
  4. Cody GakpoLiverpool1 assist · 90 min8.0
  5. Konstantinos TsimikasLiverpool1 assist · 90 min7.6

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LiverpoolVillarrealUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Liverpool win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Liverpool
47.8%
Draw
23.3%
Villarreal
28.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
59.5%
Over 2.5 goals
59.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Liverpool win was the highest probability; the match result was Liverpool win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

10 facts from this result

The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.

Head-to-head evidence

Final live-fact record

  • For Villarreal, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 4 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Villarreal, the final recorded goal situation matched 7 comparable matches from 22 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
  • For Liverpool, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 4 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
  • For Liverpool, the final recorded goal situation matched 22 comparable matches from 90 checked matches: 95.5% win, 0% draw, 4.5% loss.Verified final

Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-0is the most common scoreline between Liverpool and Villarreal, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 1/2recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • 37league matches at home unbeaten for Liverpool.Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Liverpool scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Villarreal scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
  • Liverpool have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence

Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Liverpool vs Villarreal?
    Liverpool beat Villarreal 4-3 in the UEFA Champions League at Anfield.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Georges Mikautadze opened the scoring in the 4th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Georges Mikautadze (4'), Sergi Cardona (29'), Alexis Mac Allister (36'), Ronald Araujo (47'), Alexis Mac Allister (65'), Florian Wirtz (68'), Tani Oluwaseyi (87').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Szymon Marciniak officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    Liverpool vs Villarreal kicked off on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 UK time at Anfield.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score — No, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    Liverpool play Crystal Palace on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time. Villarreal play Getafe on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.