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EFL Championship · MW5Ref: Andrew Kitchen
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lincoln City 1-1 Southampton result, stats and report

Lincoln City
Drew · xG 1.78
1 – 1
FT 07:55
Drew · xG 0.63
Southampton
Next: Lincoln City v West Ham United · Wed 14 Oct · Norwich v Southampton · Wed 14 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Lincoln CitySouthamptonEFL Championship

The provider forecast gives Southampton win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LNC
36.8%
Draw
25.3%
Southampton
38.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.3%
Over 2.5 goals
56.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Southampton win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

37%
25%
38%
36.8%LNC
25.3%Draw
38.0%Southampton

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 58.3%No 41.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 56.0%No 44.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-2
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Southampton or draw at 50.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.9%.

Double Chance

1X
43.9%
12
5.9%
X2
50.2%

Half-Time Result

LNC
28.1%
Draw
38.9%
Southampton
33.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LNC
Draw
Southampton
LNC
17.8%
5.2%
2.7%
Draw
10.4%
15.5%
14.9%
Southampton
2.0%
5.8%
25.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.9%
No
94.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.