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Ligue 1 · MW2 Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'AscqRef: Eric Wattellier
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lille 2-2 Paris Saint Germain result, stats and report

Lille
Drew · xG 0.72
2 – 2
FT
Drew · xG 0.84
Paris Saint Germain
Next: Arsenal v Lille · Tue 13 Oct · Manchester City v Paris Saint Germain · Wed 14 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LilleParis Saint GermainLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Paris Saint Germain win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.0%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

Lille
30.0%
Draw
23.0%
Paris Saint Germain
47.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.8%
Over 2.5 goals
57.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

30%
23%
47%
30.0%Lille
23.0%Draw
47.0%Paris Saint Germain

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.8%No 43.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

57%
Yes 57.1%No 42.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
33%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lille or draw at 49.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.0%.

Double Chance

1X
49.9%
12
5.7%
X2
44.3%

Half-Time Result

Lille
30.3%
Draw
38.3%
Paris Saint Germain
31.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lille
Draw
Paris Saint Germain
Lille
22.1%
4.4%
3.1%
Draw
11.7%
14.5%
12.0%
Paris Saint Germain
2.2%
4.3%
25.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.0%
No
96.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.