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UEFA Champions League · MW3 Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'AscqRef: Rade Obrenović
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Lille 2-4 Galatasaray result, stats and report

Lille
Lost · xG 1.56
2 – 4
FT 02:55
Won · xG 1.48
Galatasaray
Next: Lille v Lyon · Sat 21 Nov · Galatasaray v Aston Villa · Tue 24 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LilleGalatasarayUEFA Champions League

The provider forecast gives Galatasaray win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Lille
37.7%
Draw
23.1%
GAL
39.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.8%
Over 2.5 goals
57.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Galatasaray win was the highest probability; the match result was Galatasaray win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

38%
23%
39%
37.7%Lille
23.1%Draw
39.2%GAL

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 57.8%No 42.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 57.6%No 42.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
35%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-2
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lille or draw at 47.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 39.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.5%.

Double Chance

1X
47.4%
12
5.2%
X2
47.4%

Half-Time Result

Lille
29.9%
Draw
39.2%
GAL
30.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lille
Draw
GAL
Lille
22.8%
4.2%
2.6%
Draw
13.1%
13.6%
12.9%
GAL
2.8%
4.6%
23.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.5%
No
93.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.