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League One · MW7Ref: Craig Hicks
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage result, stats and report

Leyton Orient
Won · xG 0.59
1 – 0
FT 07:05
Lost · xG 1.60
Stevenage
Next: Burton Albion v Leyton Orient · Sat 24 Oct · Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons · Sat 24 Oct
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Who won Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?

Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage, full time in League One. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Leyton Orient won it.

Match Review · published 19 Sept 2026, 19:10 BST

Stevenage Steal It: Alex Gilbert's Late Strike Downs Leyton Orient 1-0

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Leyton Orient dominated possession and created far more chances at Brisbane Road, but a single Alex Gilbert right-foot finish in the 79th minute handed Stevenage all three points in a result that will sting the hosts badly.

Read the review
How it played out

LEY won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 07:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Leyton Orient 1–0 Stevenage

Leyton Orient dominated possession and created far more chances at Brisbane Road, but a single Alex Gilbert right-foot finish in the 79th minute handed Stevenage all three points in a result that will sting the hosts badly.

Key Takeaways
Result

Leyton Orient beat Stevenage 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

Leyton Orient won against the run of the chances: Leyton Orient 0.59 to Stevenage 1.60 on expected goals, which favoured Stevenage.

First Goal
A
79'⚽
Alex Gilbert
IAssist: Idris El Mizouni
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Leyton Orient 0.59 xGStevenage 1.60 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Leyton Orient to win

39%Matched

Result

Leyton Orient1:0Stevenage

LEY v STV

Our model called Leyton Orient to win at 39%. Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Leyton Orient face Stevenage in League One on 19 September at 14:00 UTC. Orient have drawn once in their last five matches while Stevenage won one of their last five; Stevenage scored in both sides in all recent outings, whereas Orient managed no both-ways goals. Orient hold a 1-0 head-to-head record. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Leyton Orient v Stevenage · League One ·

More from this competition: League One predictions · League One odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. C. PiergianniSTV★ MOTM90 min7.8
  2. Nathan Baxter90 min7.5
  3. Alex Gilbert1 goal · 90 min7.5
  4. W. ForresterLEY90 min7.3
  5. Joshua Brendan David Magennis64 min7.0

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Leyton Orient win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LEY
38.8%
Draw
25.3%
STV
35.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.5%
Over 2.5 goals
49.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Leyton Orient win was the highest probability; the match result was Leyton Orient win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-0is the most common scoreline between Leyton Orient and Stevenage, landing once across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (33.3%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Stevenage.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Leyton Orient scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Stevenage scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Leyton Orient have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Stevenage have averaged 1.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Jaze Kabia has the highest listed average xGOT for Leyton Orient at 1.10 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Terence Vancooten has the highest listed average xGOT for Stevenage at 0.84 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Leyton Orient vs Stevenage?
    LEY beat STV 1-0 in the League One.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Alex Gilbert opened the scoring in the 79th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Alex Gilbert (79').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Craig Hicks officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    LEY vs STV kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    9 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    LEY play Burton Albion on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. STV play Stevenage on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.