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Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage, full time in League One. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Leyton Orient won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Leyton Orient dominated possession and created far more chances at Brisbane Road, but a single Alex Gilbert right-foot finish in the 79th minute handed Stevenage all three points in a result that will sting the hosts badly.
Leyton Orient dominated possession and created far more chances at Brisbane Road, but a single Alex Gilbert right-foot finish in the 79th minute handed Stevenage all three points in a result that will sting the hosts badly.
League OneSat 19 Sept, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Leyton Orient beat Stevenage 1-0 at home.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Chance quality
Leyton Orient won against the run of the chances: Leyton Orient 0.59 to Stevenage 1.60 on expected goals, which favoured Stevenage.
First Goal
A
79'⚽
Alex Gilbert
IAssist: Idris El Mizouni
Game Flow
Expected Goals (xG)
Leyton Orient 0.59 xGStevenage 1.60 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Leyton Orient to win
39%Matched
Result
1:0
LEY v STV
Our model called Leyton Orient to win at 39%. Leyton Orient 1-0 Stevenage. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Leyton Orient face Stevenage in League One on 19 September at 14:00 UTC. Orient have drawn once in their last five matches while Stevenage won one of their last five; Stevenage scored in both sides in all recent outings, whereas Orient managed no both-ways goals. Orient hold a 1-0 head-to-head record. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Leyton Orient win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
LEY
38.8%
Draw
25.3%
STV
35.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.5%
Over 2.5 goals
49.9%
Full-time forecast audit: Leyton Orient win was the highest probability; the match result was Leyton Orient win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.