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League One · MW3Ref: Scott Jackson
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Leyton Orient 1-3 Barnsley result, stats and report

Leyton Orient
Lost · xG 0.50
1 – 3
FT
Won · xG 1.99
Barnsley
Next: Leyton Orient v Blackpool · Sat 17 Oct · Barnsley v Cambridge United · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Leyton OrientBarnsleyLeague One

The provider forecast gives Leyton Orient win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LEY
39.6%
Draw
25.3%
BRS
35.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.4%
Over 2.5 goals
51.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
25%
35%
39.6%LEY
25.3%Draw
35.1%BRS

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.4%No 45.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 51.1%No 48.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.0%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-0
7.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LEY or draw at 47.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.3%.

Double Chance

1X
47.1%
12
7.0%
X2
45.9%

Half-Time Result

LEY
30.4%
Draw
42.5%
BRS
27.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LEY
Draw
BRS
LEY
22.5%
5.7%
2.5%
Draw
12.9%
15.5%
13.5%
BRS
2.5%
4.9%
20.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.3%
No
94.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.