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League One · MW10 King Power Stadium, Leicester, LeicestershireRef: Simon Hooper
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Leicester 1-3 Peterborough United result, stats and report

Leicester
Lost · xG 2.90
1 – 3
FT 05:06
Won · xG 1.42
Peterborough United
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Oxford City v Leicester · Fri 6 Nov · Peterborough United v Reading · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LeicesterPeterborough UnitedLeague One

The provider forecast gives Leicester win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Leicester
55.2%
Draw
21.6%
PTU
23.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.7%
Over 2.5 goals
61.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Leicester win was the highest probability; the match result was Peterborough United win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

55%
22%
23%
55.2%Leicester
21.6%Draw
23.1%PTU

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 60.7%No 39.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.0%No 39.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.1%
1-1
10.0%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Leicester or draw at 63.2%; the most likely half-time state is Leicester leading at half-time at 45.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 13.1%.

Double Chance

1X
63.2%
12
4.5%
X2
32.3%

Half-Time Result

Leicester
45.8%
Draw
36.1%
PTU
18.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Leicester
Draw
PTU
Leicester
38.7%
4.9%
1.6%
Draw
16.9%
11.3%
7.6%
PTU
3.6%
4.5%
10.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
13.1%
No
87.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.