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League One · MW11 King Power Stadium, Leicester, LeicestershireRef: Carl Brook
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Leicester 2-1 Doncaster Rovers result, stats and report

Leicester
Won · xG 1.93
2 – 1
FT 03:45
Lost · xG 0.87
Doncaster Rovers
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Oxford City v Leicester · Fri 6 Nov · Kidderminster Harriers v Doncaster Rovers · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LeicesterDoncaster RoversLeague One

The provider forecast gives Leicester win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Leicester
44.3%
Draw
24.0%
DNR
31.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.7%
Over 2.5 goals
62.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Leicester win was the highest probability; the match result was Leicester win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

44%
24%
32%
44.3%Leicester
24.0%Draw
31.7%DNR

Both Teams to Score

63%
Yes 62.7%No 37.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 62.3%No 37.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Leicester or draw at 58.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 38.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.6%.

Double Chance

1X
58.3%
12
4.6%
X2
37.1%

Half-Time Result

Leicester
36.8%
Draw
38.1%
DNR
25.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Leicester
Draw
DNR
Leicester
27.9%
5.5%
2.3%
Draw
13.6%
14.6%
9.4%
DNR
3.3%
5.7%
17.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.6%
No
90.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.