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Premier League · MW7 Elland Road, Leeds, West YorkshireRef: Darren England
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Leeds 1-1 Manchester United result, stats and report

Leeds
Drew · xG 1.31
1 – 1
FT 00:55
Drew · xG 0.86
Manchester United
Next: Chelsea v Leeds · Sat 21 Nov · Manchester United v Aston Villa · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LeedsManchester UnitedPremier League

The provider forecast gives Manchester United win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Leeds
33.6%
Draw
27.8%
Manchester United
38.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.2%
Over 2.5 goals
46.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Manchester United win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

34%
28%
39%
33.6%Leeds
27.8%Draw
38.6%Manchester United

Both Teams to Score

51%
Yes 51.2%No 48.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

47%
Yes 46.9%No 53.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
25%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.3%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Manchester United or draw at 49.6%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.9%.

Double Chance

1X
41.5%
12
8.9%
X2
49.6%

Half-Time Result

Leeds
27.5%
Draw
42.5%
Manchester United
30.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Leeds
Draw
Manchester United
Leeds
18.6%
5.1%
2.9%
Draw
12.7%
15.3%
14.4%
Manchester United
2.4%
5.7%
23.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.9%
No
96.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.