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Premier League · MW5 Elland Road, Leeds, West YorkshireRef: Adam Herczeg

Leeds vs Crystal Palace prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
2d 2h
Leeds 45%Draw 26%Crystal Palace 29%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Leeds or Crystal Palace?

Leeds vs Crystal Palace kicks off UK time in the Premier League. The match is at Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 56.8% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Leeds winning 1, Crystal Palace winning 0 and 1 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Leeds has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Leeds45.3%
Draw26.1%
BTTS yes57.1%

Updated

Over 2.555.2%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

No current Match Facts coverage

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
9.0
xG for
12 +3.0
Goals
9.0
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
7.5
xG for
13 +5.5
Goals
11.3
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
LeedsNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Leeds recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W41.96
2L32.44
3D12.02
4D10.11
5W21.71
6W10.75
Crystal PalaceNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Crystal Palace recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W42.07
2L20.92
3W31.08
4W31.04
5L10.62
6L01.79
Leeds have taken more points than their chances were worth: 11 points against 8.0 expected. Crystal Palace have taken more points than their chances were worth: 9 points against 6.4 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Leeds generated 9.0 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 12, 3.0 above that chance total. Crystal Palace generated 7.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 13, 5.5 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Leeds: 6 matches · Crystal Palace: 6
Recent team comparison. Leeds sample 6; Crystal Palace sample 6.
MeasureLeedsCrystal Palace
Goals / game22.17
Conceded / game1.51.83
xG / game1.51.25
xG conceded / game1.51.88
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Leeds v Crystal Palace

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~13:00
Leeds11 starters
18Stach
40Buonanotte
Crystal Palace11 starters
44Benítez
9Nketiah
Out / doubtful
🩹 Joe Rodon injury · 🩹 Chadi Riad injury · 🩹 Jean-Philippe Mateta injury · 🩹 Ismaïla Sarr injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Leeds v Crystal Palace · Premier League ·

More from this competition: Premier League predictions · Premier League odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
    Leeds vs Crystal Palace takes place on Sunday 20 September at 14:00 (UK time) in the Premier League at Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire.
  • Who is the model backing in Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score (btts), with around 57% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Leeds and Crystal Palace?
    In their last 2 meetings, Leeds won 1, Crystal Palace won 0, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Premier League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Leeds vs Crystal Palace free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Leeds vs Crystal Palace are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 20 Sept, 14:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.