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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW7Ref: Damian Kos
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lech Poznań 1-0 Raków Częstochowa result, stats and report

The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Lech Poznań v Bayer Leverkusen · Thu 15 Oct · Wieczysta Kraków v Raków Częstochowa · Fri 16 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Lech PoznańRaków CzęstochowaPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Lech Poznań win the highest 1X2 probability at 60.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LEC
60.4%
Draw
22.9%
RAK
16.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.1%
Over 2.5 goals
59.5%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

60%
23%
17%
60.4%LEC
22.9%Draw
16.7%RAK

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 58.1%No 41.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 59.5%No 40.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
11.1%
1-1
10.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
2-2
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LEC or draw at 65.2%; the most likely half-time state is LEC leading at half-time at 41.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 14.3%.

Double Chance

1X
65.2%
12
5.0%
X2
29.8%

Half-Time Result

LEC
41.7%
Draw
40.5%
RAK
17.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LEC
Draw
RAK
LEC
35.8%
5.3%
1.9%
Draw
19.2%
13.6%
6.8%
RAK
3.7%
4.8%
8.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
14.3%
No
85.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.