Skip to main content
Live
✦ SportSignals+ just now
Value SmartBetsNEW Props Predictions Live My Bets Alerts
Polish Ekstraklasa · MW11Ref: Łukasz Kuźma
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Lech Poznań 6-1 Korona Kielce result, stats and report

Lech Poznań
Won · xG 1.75
6 – 1
FT 03:25
Lost · xG 1.22
Korona Kielce
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Katowice v Lech Poznań · Sun 22 Nov · Piast Gliwice v Korona Kielce · Fri 20 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Lech PoznańKorona KielcePolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Lech Poznań win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LEC
55.2%
Draw
21.6%
KOR
23.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.6%
Over 2.5 goals
63.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Lech Poznań win was the highest probability; the match result was Lech Poznań win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

55%
22%
23%
55.2%LEC
21.6%Draw
23.2%KOR

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 60.6%No 39.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

64%
Yes 63.6%No 36.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
41%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.3%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LEC or draw at 61.3%; the most likely half-time state is LEC leading at half-time at 40.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 14.2%.

Double Chance

1X
61.3%
12
4.1%
X2
34.6%

Half-Time Result

LEC
40.4%
Draw
38.6%
KOR
21.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LEC
Draw
KOR
LEC
35.0%
4.9%
2.1%
Draw
18.1%
11.7%
7.2%
KOR
3.4%
4.7%
12.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
14.2%
No
85.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.