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UEFA Europa League · MW2Ref: Miloš Milanović
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Lech Poznań 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen result, stats and report

Lech Poznań
Lost · xG 0.57
0 – 4
FT 03:55
Won · xG 5.47
Bayer Leverkusen
Next: Katowice v Lech Poznań · Sun 22 Nov · Bayer Leverkusen v Paderborn · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Lech PoznańBayer LeverkusenUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Bayer Leverkusen win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LEC
37.2%
Draw
22.2%
Bayer Leverkusen
40.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
62.4%
Over 2.5 goals
64.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Bayer Leverkusen win was the highest probability; the match result was Bayer Leverkusen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

37%
22%
41%
37.2%LEC
22.2%Draw
40.6%Bayer Leverkusen

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 62.4%No 37.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

64%
Yes 64.4%No 35.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
41%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.4%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-0
5.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LEC or draw at 50.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.5%.

Double Chance

1X
50.3%
12
4.0%
X2
45.7%

Half-Time Result

LEC
28.4%
Draw
37.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
34.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LEC
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen
LEC
25.0%
4.1%
3.0%
Draw
14.2%
11.5%
11.4%
Bayer Leverkusen
3.0%
5.5%
22.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.5%
No
91.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.