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Serie A · MW2 Stadio Comunale Via del Mare, LecceRef: Daniele Chiffi
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lecce 0-4 AS Roma result, stats and report

Lecce
Lost · xG 0.23
0 – 4
FT
Won · xG 1.88
AS Roma
Next: Lecce v Bologna · Sun 11 Oct · Como v AS Roma · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LecceAS RomaSerie A

The provider forecast gives AS Roma win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Lecce
31.6%
Draw
26.9%
AS Roma
41.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
53.4%
Over 2.5 goals
49.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
27%
42%
31.6%Lecce
26.9%Draw
41.5%AS Roma

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 53.4%No 46.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 49.2%No 50.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.7%
0-1
10.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AS Roma or draw at 49.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.2%.

Double Chance

1X
43.4%
12
7.5%
X2
49.1%

Half-Time Result

Lecce
25.5%
Draw
45.8%
AS Roma
28.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lecce
Draw
AS Roma
Lecce
18.2%
5.0%
2.6%
Draw
13.1%
17.5%
14.5%
AS Roma
2.0%
5.0%
22.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.2%
No
96.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.