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Ligue 1 · MW5Ref: Geoffrey Kubler
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Le Mans 2-1 Lorient result, stats and report

Le Mans
Won · xG 1.18
2 – 1
FT 09:05
Lost · xG 0.82
Lorient
Next: Auxerre v Le Mans · Sun 25 Oct · Angers v Lorient · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Le MansLorientLigue 1

The provider forecast gives Le Mans win the highest 1X2 probability at 35.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LE
35.0%
Draw
30.3%
Lorient
34.7%
Both teams to score · Yes
47.2%
Over 2.5 goals
40.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Le Mans win was the highest probability; the match result was Le Mans win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

35%
30%
35%
35.0%LE
30.3%Draw
34.7%Lorient

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 47.2%No 52.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

40%
Yes 40.4%No 59.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
66%
Over 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
21%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
13.3%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
11.2%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LE or draw at 46.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.3%.

Double Chance

1X
46.5%
12
11.4%
X2
42.0%

Half-Time Result

LE
29.1%
Draw
44.8%
Lorient
26.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LE
Draw
Lorient
LE
20.6%
6.3%
2.3%
Draw
12.5%
18.5%
13.4%
Lorient
2.2%
6.2%
18.2%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.3%
No
96.7%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.