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Serie A · MW6 Stadio Olimpico, RomaRef: Giuseppe Collu
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lazio 3-1 Monza result, stats and report

Lazio
Won · xG 1.74
3 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 1.32
Monza
Next: Lazio v Cagliari · Sun 1 Nov · Monza v Atalanta · Sun 8 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LazioMonzaSerie A

The provider forecast gives Lazio win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Lazio
41.9%
Draw
26.3%
MON
31.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.8%
Over 2.5 goals
52.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Lazio win was the highest probability; the match result was Lazio win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
26%
32%
41.9%Lazio
26.3%Draw
31.8%MON

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.8%No 43.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 52.8%No 47.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
31%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
0-0
7.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lazio or draw at 50.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.2%.

Double Chance

1X
50.4%
12
7.1%
X2
42.5%

Half-Time Result

Lazio
31.2%
Draw
43.5%
MON
25.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lazio
Draw
MON
Lazio
23.2%
5.2%
2.6%
Draw
14.6%
17.9%
10.6%
MON
2.8%
6.0%
17.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.2%
No
93.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.