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Serie A · MW2 Stadio Olimpico, RomaRef: Ermanno Feliciani
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Lazio 1-0 Genoa result, stats and report

Lazio
Won · xG 0.80
1 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.16
Genoa
Next: Juventus v Lazio · Sun 18 Oct · AS Roma v Genoa · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LazioGenoaSerie A

The provider forecast gives Lazio win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Lazio
56.9%
Draw
23.9%
Genoa
19.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
46.7%
Over 2.5 goals
49.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
24%
19%
56.9%Lazio
23.9%Draw
19.2%Genoa

Both Teams to Score

47%
Yes 46.7%No 53.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 49.7%No 50.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
12.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lazio or draw at 63.7%; the most likely half-time state is Lazio leading at half-time at 41.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.4%.

Double Chance

1X
63.7%
12
7.8%
X2
28.5%

Half-Time Result

Lazio
41.9%
Draw
41.3%
Genoa
16.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lazio
Draw
Genoa
Lazio
36.6%
5.0%
1.3%
Draw
18.2%
16.3%
6.6%
Genoa
2.6%
3.9%
9.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.4%
No
89.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.