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Serie A ยท MW4 Stadio Olimpico, RomaRef: Matteo Marcenaro
Full time

Lazio 2-2 AC Milan result, stats and report

Lazio
Drew ยท xG 1.83
2 โ€“ 2
FT
Drew ยท xG 1.44
AC Milan
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: AC Milan v Lecce ยท Sun 20 Sept
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Forecast audit ยท prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

LazioAC MilanSerie A

The provider forecast gives AC Milan win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Lazio
32.8%
Draw
27.4%
AC Milan
39.7%
Both teams to score ยท Yes
52.7%
Over 2.5 goals
48.2%

Forecast result checked ยท

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

33%
27%
40%
32.8%Lazio
27.4%Draw
39.7%AC Milan

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 52.7%No 47.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 48.2%No 51.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.5%
0-1
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Lazio or draw at 47.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 47.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.8%.

Double Chance

1X
47.3%
12
8.2%
X2
44.5%

Half-Time Result

Lazio
27.5%
Draw
47.6%
AC Milan
24.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Lazio
Draw
AC Milan
Lazio
20.2%
5.6%
2.4%
Draw
13.5%
18.7%
12.8%
AC Milan
2.3%
5.1%
19.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.8%
No
96.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ ยท Past performance does not guarantee future results ยท BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.