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La Liga 2 · MW6Ref: José Luis Guzmán Mansilla
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Las Palmas 1-2 Burgos result, stats and report

Las Palmas
Lost · xG 0.65
1 – 2
FT
Won · xG 0.70
Burgos
Next: Oviedo v Las Palmas · Mon 2 Nov · Laredo v Burgos · Thu 29 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Las PalmasBurgosLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Las Palmas win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

LPA
45.6%
Draw
30.0%
BUR
24.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
43.6%
Over 2.5 goals
38.2%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
30%
24%
45.6%LPA
30.0%Draw
24.5%BUR

Both Teams to Score

44%
Yes 43.6%No 56.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

38%
Yes 38.2%No 61.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
64%
Over 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
18%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates LPA or draw at 53.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 47.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.4%.

Double Chance

1X
53.5%
12
12.1%
X2
34.4%

Half-Time Result

LPA
32.8%
Draw
47.1%
BUR
20.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
LPA
Draw
BUR
LPA
24.3%
5.8%
1.6%
Draw
15.7%
22.7%
10.2%
BUR
1.8%
4.7%
13.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.4%
No
95.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.