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Scottish Premiership · MW5Ref: David Dickinson
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Kilmarnock 0-1 St. Mirren result, stats and report

Kilmarnock
Lost · xG 0.56
0 – 1
FT
Won · xG 1.12
St. Mirren
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Celtic v Kilmarnock · Sun 8 Nov · St. Mirren v Rangers · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

KilmarnockSt. MirrenScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives St. Mirren win the highest 1X2 probability at 38.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

KIL
35.5%
Draw
25.7%
STM
38.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.8%
Over 2.5 goals
58.4%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

36%
26%
39%
35.5%KIL
25.7%Draw
38.8%STM

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 60.8%No 39.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

58%
Yes 58.4%No 41.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-2
6.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates STM or draw at 51.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.1%.

Double Chance

1X
43.3%
12
5.4%
X2
51.3%

Half-Time Result

KIL
27.0%
Draw
41.2%
STM
31.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
KIL
Draw
STM
KIL
19.3%
5.1%
3.0%
Draw
11.7%
14.9%
13.9%
STM
2.5%
6.0%
23.6%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.1%
No
93.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.