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UEFA Europa LeagueRef: Jesús Gil Manzano
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 Beşiktaş result, stats and report

Kauno Žalgiris
Won · xG 0.60
1 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 0.77
Beşiktaş
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Brighton v Kauno Žalgiris · Thu 15 Oct · 1899 Hoffenheim v Beşiktaş · Thu 15 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Kauno ŽalgirisBeşiktaşUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Beşiktaş win the highest 1X2 probability at 51.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Kauno Žalgiris
24.2%
Draw
24.4%
BES
51.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
48.0%
Over 2.5 goals
48.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

24%
24%
51%
24.2%Kauno Žalgiris
24.4%Draw
51.4%BES

Both Teams to Score

48%
Yes 48.0%No 52.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 48.9%No 51.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

0-1
12.1%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
9.1%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
7.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates BES or draw at 51.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 2.5%.

Double Chance

1X
40.6%
12
8.1%
X2
51.3%

Half-Time Result

Kauno Žalgiris
24.5%
Draw
42.9%
BES
32.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Kauno Žalgiris
Draw
BES
Kauno Žalgiris
17.2%
4.3%
2.3%
Draw
13.5%
15.1%
14.6%
BES
2.0%
4.8%
26.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
2.5%
No
97.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.