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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW11Ref: Szymon Marciniak
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Katowice 0-1 Pogoń Szczecin result, stats and report

Katowice
Lost · xG 1.15
0 – 1
FT 06:25
Won · xG 1.63
Pogoń Szczecin
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Katowice v Lech Poznań · Sun 22 Nov · Pogoń Szczecin v Śląsk Wrocław · Fri 20 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

KatowicePogoń SzczecinPolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Katowice win the highest 1X2 probability at 45.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

KAT
45.6%
Draw
26.2%
POG
28.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.9%
Over 2.5 goals
55.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Katowice win was the highest probability; the match result was Pogoń Szczecin win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

46%
26%
28%
45.6%KAT
26.2%Draw
28.2%POG

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 57.9%No 42.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.3%No 44.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
79%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.4%
2-1
10.1%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates KAT or draw at 52.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.0%.

Double Chance

1X
52.1%
12
6.0%
X2
41.9%

Half-Time Result

KAT
33.0%
Draw
42.4%
POG
24.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
KAT
Draw
POG
KAT
26.7%
5.7%
2.4%
Draw
15.4%
16.6%
9.2%
POG
3.2%
5.6%
15.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.0%
No
92.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.