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2. Bundesliga · MW3Ref: Lars Erbst
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Karlsruher SC 2-5 VfL Wolfsburg result, stats and report

Karlsruher SC
Lost · xG 0.92
2 – 5
FT
Won · xG 2.01
VfL Wolfsburg
Next: FC St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC · Sun 11 Oct · Nürnberg v VfL Wolfsburg · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Karlsruher SCVfL Wolfsburg2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Karlsruher SC win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

KAR
39.1%
Draw
23.8%
VfL Wolfsburg
37.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
66.5%
Over 2.5 goals
67.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
24%
37%
39.1%KAR
23.8%Draw
37.2%VfL Wolfsburg

Both Teams to Score

66%
Yes 66.5%No 33.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

67%
Yes 67.0%No 33.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
67%
Over 3.5
45%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
1-0
5.4%
0-1
5.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates VfL Wolfsburg or draw at 50.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 36.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 9.7%.

Double Chance

1X
46.0%
12
3.9%
X2
50.1%

Half-Time Result

KAR
30.0%
Draw
36.4%
VfL Wolfsburg
33.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
KAR
Draw
VfL Wolfsburg
KAR
21.8%
5.8%
3.4%
Draw
12.9%
13.1%
11.1%
VfL Wolfsburg
3.3%
5.3%
23.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
9.7%
No
90.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.