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2. Bundesliga · MW6Ref: Timo Gansloweit
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Karlsruher SC 0-1 Nürnberg result, stats and report

Karlsruher SC
Lost · xG 0.53
0 – 1
FT 03:05
Won · xG 1.16
Nürnberg
Next: Magdeburg v Karlsruher SC · Sat 24 Oct · Nürnberg v Kaiserslautern · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Karlsruher SCNürnberg2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Nürnberg win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

KAR
32.5%
Draw
23.9%
NUR
43.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.5%
Over 2.5 goals
61.6%

Full-time forecast audit: Nürnberg win was the highest probability; the match result was Nürnberg win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
24%
44%
32.5%KAR
23.9%Draw
43.6%NUR

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 61.5%No 38.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

62%
Yes 61.6%No 38.4%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
62%
Over 3.5
39%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.0%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
6.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates NUR or draw at 54.2%; the most likely half-time state is NUR leading at half-time at 38.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.7%.

Double Chance

1X
40.7%
12
5.1%
X2
54.2%

Half-Time Result

KAR
26.5%
Draw
35.1%
NUR
38.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
KAR
Draw
NUR
KAR
16.3%
5.6%
4.3%
Draw
9.2%
11.6%
14.0%
NUR
2.6%
5.4%
31.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.7%
No
94.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.