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Polish Ekstraklasa · MW10Ref: Wojciech Myć
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Jagiellonia Białystok 1-3 Górnik Zabrze result, stats and report

Jagiellonia Białystok
Lost · xG 0.74
1 – 3
FT 07:45
Won · xG 2.10
Górnik Zabrze
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia Białystok · Thu 5 Nov · Górnik Zabrze v Wieczysta Kraków · Sat 7 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Jagiellonia BiałystokGórnik ZabrzePolish Ekstraklasa

The provider forecast gives Jagiellonia Białystok win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

JAG
44.9%
Draw
27.2%
GÓR
27.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.3%
Over 2.5 goals
50.4%

Full-time forecast audit: Jagiellonia Białystok win was the highest probability; the match result was Górnik Zabrze win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

45%
27%
28%
44.9%JAG
27.2%Draw
27.9%GÓR

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.3%No 45.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

50%
Yes 50.4%No 49.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
27%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
0-1
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates JAG or draw at 53.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 42.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.5%.

Double Chance

1X
53.2%
12
7.9%
X2
38.9%

Half-Time Result

JAG
34.5%
Draw
42.0%
GÓR
23.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
JAG
Draw
GÓR
JAG
27.1%
5.5%
2.0%
Draw
14.5%
17.7%
10.2%
GÓR
2.5%
5.4%
15.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.5%
No
93.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.