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Croatian 1. HNL · MW8Ref: Dario Bel
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Istra 1961 0-1 Gorica result, stats and report

0 – 1
FT 08:45
Next: Istra 1961 v Hajduk Split · Mon 26 Oct · Hajduk Split v Gorica · Sat 31 Oct
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Who won Istra 1961 vs Gorica?

Istra 1961 0-1 Gorica, full time in Croatian 1. HNL. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Gorica won it.

How it played out

GOR won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 08:45Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Istra 1961 0–1 Gorica

Gorica ended a run of three straight defeats with a dramatic 90th-minute winner at Istra 1961, Jakov Pranjic's late strike settling a tight Croatian 1. HNL contest that the visitors shaded on the night.

Key Takeaways
Result

Gorica won 1-0 away at Istra 1961.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

First Goal
J
85'⚽
Jakov Pranjic
DAssist: Domagoj Pavicic

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Istra 1961 to win

40%Missed

Result

Istra 19610:1Gorica

IST v GOR

Our model leaned Istra 1961 to win at 40%. Istra 1961 0-1 Gorica. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Gorica won 1-0 at Istra 1961 in Croatian 1. HNL, with Jakov Pranjic scoring in the 90+6th minute. Our model backed an Istra 1961 victory at 40 percent probability; the pick missed. Gorica arrived in poor form, winless in their last four matches, yet found a late breakthrough. Istra, meanwhile, had won once in their previous five outings before this defeat. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Istra 1961 v Gorica · Croatian 1. HNL ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Niko ŠepićIST★ MOTM90 min8.4
  2. Raul KumarIST90 min8.0
  3. Samuli MiettinenIST90 min7.4
  4. Nik Skafar ZuzicIST72 min7.3
  5. Dukan AhmetiIST90 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Istra 1961 win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

IST
39.8%
Draw
25.9%
GOR
34.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.3%
Over 2.5 goals
52.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Istra 1961 win was the highest probability; the match result was Gorica win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Istra 1961 and Gorica, landing 6 times across 32 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 14/32recorded league meetings saw both teams score (43.8%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5league matches at home unbeaten for Istra 1961.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Istra 1961 scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Gorica scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Istra 1961 have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Gorica have averaged 0.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Emil Frederiksen has the highest listed average xGOT for Istra 1961 at 0.37 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Medin Gashi has the highest listed average xGOT for Gorica at 0.68 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Istra 1961 vs Gorica?
    GOR beat IST 1-0 in the Croatian 1. HNL.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jakov Pranjic opened the scoring in the 85th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jakov Pranjic (85').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Dario Bel officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    IST vs GOR kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    6 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    IST play Istra 1961 on Monday, 26 October 2026 UK time. GOR play Hajduk Split on Saturday, 31 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.