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Istra 1961 0-1 Gorica, full time in Croatian 1. HNL. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Gorica won it.
By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
Gorica ended a run of three straight defeats with a dramatic 90th-minute winner at Istra 1961, Jakov Pranjic's late strike settling a tight Croatian 1. HNL contest that the visitors shaded on the night.
Gorica ended a run of three straight defeats with a dramatic 90th-minute winner at Istra 1961, Jakov Pranjic's late strike settling a tight Croatian 1. HNL contest that the visitors shaded on the night.
Croatian 1. HNLSat 19 Sept, 19:00
Key Takeaways
Result
Gorica won 1-0 away at Istra 1961.
Goals
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
First Goal
J
85'⚽
Jakov Pranjic
DAssist: Domagoj Pavicic
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Istra 1961 to win
40%Missed
Result
0:1
IST v GOR
Our model leaned Istra 1961 to win at 40%. Istra 1961 0-1 Gorica. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context
Gorica won 1-0 at Istra 1961 in Croatian 1. HNL, with Jakov Pranjic scoring in the 90+6th minute. Our model backed an Istra 1961 victory at 40 percent probability; the pick missed. Gorica arrived in poor form, winless in their last four matches, yet found a late breakthrough. Istra, meanwhile, had won once in their previous five outings before this defeat. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives Istra 1961 win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.8%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
IST
39.8%
Draw
25.9%
GOR
34.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.3%
Over 2.5 goals
52.1%
Full-time forecast audit: Istra 1961 win was the highest probability; the match result was Gorica win.
Forecast result checked ·
Tips record
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.