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2. Bundesliga · MW6Ref: Tom Bauer
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Holstein Kiel 1-1 Osnabrück result, stats and report

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Drew · xG 2.35
1 – 1
FT 03:05
Osnabrück
Drew · xG 1.39
Osnabrück
Match review
Next: Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden · Sun 25 Oct · Osnabrück v SpVgg Greuther Fürth · Sun 25 Oct
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Who won Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück?

Holstein Kiel 1-1 Osnabrück, full time in the 2. Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

Level at 1–1 when it finished

HKIOsnabrück

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 03:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Holstein Kiel 1–1 Osnabrück

Holstein Kiel and Osnabrück played out a 1-1 draw in the 2. Bundesliga, with the match settled by a Phil Harres penalty and a Hiroki Sekine own goal in a contest that produced plenty of cards, a red, and very little composure from either side.

2. BundesligaSat 19 Sept, 12:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Holstein Kiel and Osnabrück drew 1-1.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel 2.35 xGOsnabrück 1.39 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Holstein Kiel to win

41%Missed

Result

Holstein Kiel1:1Osnabrück

HKI v Osnabrück

Our model leaned Holstein Kiel to win at 41%. Holstein Kiel 1-1 Osnabrück. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Holstein Kiel host Osnabrück in the 2. Bundesliga on Saturday, 19 September at 11:00 UTC. Kiel have won one of their last five matches, though both sides show moderate scoring form; Kiel have seen both teams score in 40 percent of recent games, Osnabrück in 50 percent. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Holstein Kiel v Osnabrück · 2. Bundesliga ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. A. KaprálikHKI★ MOTM90 min7.8
  2. Adrian Beck90 min7.6
  3. Timon WeinerHKI90 min7.2
  4. Jonathan Gómez87 min7.2
  5. Phil HarresHKI1 goal · 90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Holstein KielOsnabrück2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Holstein Kiel win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HKI
41.4%
Draw
26.0%
Osnabrück
32.6%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.3%
Over 2.5 goals
56.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Holstein Kiel win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Holstein Kiel and Osnabrück, landing once across 6 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5/6recorded league meetings saw both teams score (83.3%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 5league matches at home unbeaten for Holstein Kiel.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Holstein Kiel scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Osnabrück scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Holstein Kiel have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Osnabrück have averaged 1.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • David Zec has the highest listed average xGOT for Holstein Kiel at 0.43 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh has the highest listed average xGOT for Osnabrück at 1.02 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Holstein Kiel vs Osnabrück?
    HKI and Osnabrück drew 1-1 in the 2. Bundesliga.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Phil Harres opened the scoring in the 47th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Phil Harres (47'), Hiroki Sekine (72', og).
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 7 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Tom Bauer officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    HKI vs Osnabrück kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    11 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    HKI play Holstein Kiel on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time. Osnabrück play SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.