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2. Bundesliga · MW2Ref: Max Burda
Full time

Holstein Kiel 2-2 FC St. Pauli result, stats and report

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Drew · xG 2.47
2 – 2
FT 18:15
FC St. Pauli
Drew · xG 1.49
FC St. Pauli
Match review
Next: Holstein Kiel v Osnabrück · Sat 19 Sept · Energie Cottbus v FC St. Pauli · Sun 20 Sept
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Who won Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli?

Holstein Kiel 2-2 FC St. Pauli, full time in the 2. Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed.

How it played out

Level at 2–2 when it finished

HKIFC St. Pauli

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 1 · 13:46Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Holstein Kiel 2–2 FC St. Pauli

Holstein Kiel dominated possession and territory for large stretches but could not hold their lead, as FC St. Pauli came from two goals down to claim a point through a late right-foot finish in the 88th minute.

2. BundesligaFri 14 Aug, 17:30
Key Takeaways
Result

Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli drew 2-2.

Goals

4 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
M
32'⚽
Martijn Kaars
BAssist: Branimir Hrgota
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel 2.47 xGFC St. Pauli 1.49 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Holstein Kiel to win

50%Missed

Result

Holstein Kiel2:2FC St. Pauli

HKI v FC St. Pauli

Our model leaned Holstein Kiel to win at 50%. Holstein Kiel 2-2 FC St. Pauli. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Holstein Kiel and FC St. Pauli drew 2-2 in a 2. Bundesliga match that saw both sides find the net. Our model favored a Kiel win at 50% probability, which did not materialise. Kiel arrived in form with three wins in their last five outings, while St. Pauli had won none in the same span. Both teams scored, continuing a pattern; Kiel had seen goals at both ends in 80% of recent matches. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Holstein Kiel v FC St. Pauli · 2. Bundesliga ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Phil HarresHKI★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.1
  2. Arkadiusz PyrkaFC St. Pauli1 assist · 90 min7.8
  3. Martijn KaarsFC St. Pauli1 goal · 85 min7.3
  4. Jonas TherkelsenHKI1 goal · 16 min7.2
  5. Alexander BernhardssonHKI1 assist · 90 min7.2
Timeline

Key moments

Full timeline
  1. 32'Martijn Kaars · FC St. Pauli
  2. 45+3'FC St. Pauli
  3. 56'Phil Harres · HKI
  4. 64'Eric Smith · FC St. Pauli
  5. 88'Jonas Therkelsen · HKI

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Holstein KielFC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
No immutable pre-kickoff prediction snapshot is recorded. Current provider rows are withheld so the completed-match archive cannot gain hindsight. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view

Pre-match facts retained

The immutable pre-match Match Facts snapshot is still being reconciled. Current provider rows are not substituted into the completed-match archive.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Holstein Kiel vs FC St. Pauli?
    HKI and FC St. Pauli drew 2-2 in the 2. Bundesliga.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Martijn Kaars opened the scoring in the 32nd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Martijn Kaars (32'), Taichi Hara (48'), Phil Harres (56'), Jonas Therkelsen (88').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 6 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Max Burda officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    HKI vs FC St. Pauli kicked off on Friday, 14 August 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    10 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    HKI play Holstein Kiel on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time. FC St. Pauli play Energie Cottbus on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.