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2. Bundesliga · MW4Ref: Florian Exner
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Hertha BSC 2-1 Magdeburg result, stats and report

Hertha BSC
Won · xG 1.27
2 – 1
FT 07:25
Lost · xG 1.01
Magdeburg
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Kaiserslautern v Hertha BSC · Sat 31 Oct · Darmstadt 98 v Magdeburg · Sat 31 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Hertha BSCMagdeburg2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives Magdeburg win the highest 1X2 probability at 48.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

BCS
28.1%
Draw
23.0%
MAG
48.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.1%
Over 2.5 goals
62.7%

Full-time forecast audit: Magdeburg win was the highest probability; the match result was Hertha BSC win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

28%
23%
49%
28.1%BCS
23.0%Draw
48.9%MAG

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 61.1%No 38.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

63%
Yes 62.7%No 37.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
40%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates MAG or draw at 54.9%; the most likely half-time state is MAG leading at half-time at 38.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.9%.

Double Chance

1X
40.8%
12
4.3%
X2
54.9%

Half-Time Result

BCS
24.7%
Draw
36.9%
MAG
38.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
BCS
Draw
MAG
BCS
14.6%
6.1%
4.7%
Draw
9.9%
12.2%
15.2%
MAG
2.1%
5.2%
29.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.9%
No
95.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.