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Eredivisie · MW9 Abe Lenstra Stadion, HeerenveenRef: Robin Hensgens
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

SC Heerenveen 4-0 Excelsior result, stats and report

SC Heerenveen
Won · xG 2.11
4 – 0
FT 04:56
Lost · xG 1.11
Excelsior
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: SC Heerenveen v Feyenoord · Sun 8 Nov · Feyenoord v Excelsior · Sat 21 Nov
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

SC HeerenveenExcelsiorEredivisie

The provider forecast gives SC Heerenveen win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

SC Heerenveen
47.9%
Draw
24.0%
Excelsior
28.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
60.2%
Over 2.5 goals
59.3%

Full-time forecast audit: SC Heerenveen win was the highest probability; the match result was SC Heerenveen win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

48%
24%
28%
47.9%SC Heerenveen
24.0%Draw
28.0%Excelsior

Both Teams to Score

60%
Yes 60.2%No 39.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 59.3%No 40.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-1
6.1%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SC Heerenveen or draw at 55.5%; the most likely half-time state is SC Heerenveen leading at half-time at 40.3%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 11.4%.

Double Chance

1X
55.5%
12
5.5%
X2
38.9%

Half-Time Result

SC Heerenveen
40.3%
Draw
34.0%
Excelsior
25.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
SC Heerenveen
Draw
Excelsior
SC Heerenveen
31.6%
5.7%
3.6%
Draw
13.2%
11.1%
9.1%
Excelsior
3.3%
5.0%
17.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
11.4%
No
88.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.