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Scottish Premiership · MW4Ref: Ryan Lee
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Hearts 2-1 St. Johnstone result, stats and report

Hearts
Won · xG 1.62
2 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.92
St. Johnstone
Next: Hearts v Nordsjælland · Thu 15 Oct · St. Johnstone v Dundee United · Sat 17 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

HeartsSt. JohnstoneScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives Hearts win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HEA
41.9%
Draw
27.1%
STJ
31.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.1%
Over 2.5 goals
47.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

42%
27%
31%
41.9%HEA
27.1%Draw
31.0%STJ

Both Teams to Score

50%
Yes 50.1%No 49.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

48%
Yes 47.7%No 52.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
26%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.7%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates STJ or draw at 46.4%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 44.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.8%.

Double Chance

1X
45.3%
12
8.4%
X2
46.4%

Half-Time Result

HEA
26.9%
Draw
44.0%
STJ
29.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
HEA
Draw
STJ
HEA
19.5%
5.0%
2.6%
Draw
12.6%
18.5%
12.5%
STJ
2.8%
5.5%
21.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.8%
No
94.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.