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Scottish Premiership · MW6Ref: Chris Graham
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Hearts 2-1 Dundee result, stats and report

Hearts
Won · xG 1.48
2 – 1
FT 10:35
Lost · xG 0.43
Dundee
The Match Review, as soon as it publishes.
Next: Hearts v Nordsjælland · Thu 15 Oct · Dundee v Rangers · Sat 17 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

HeartsDundeeScottish Premiership

The provider forecast gives Hearts win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.7%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

HEA
55.7%
Draw
23.5%
DUD
20.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
51.6%
Over 2.5 goals
52.1%

Full-time forecast audit: Hearts win was the highest probability; the match result was Hearts win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

56%
24%
21%
55.7%HEA
23.5%Draw
20.8%DUD

Both Teams to Score

52%
Yes 51.6%No 48.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 52.1%No 47.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-0
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates HEA or draw at 61.0%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.5%.

Double Chance

1X
61.0%
12
6.5%
X2
32.5%

Half-Time Result

HEA
40.1%
Draw
41.1%
DUD
18.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
HEA
Draw
DUD
HEA
34.2%
4.7%
1.6%
Draw
18.7%
15.1%
7.2%
DUD
3.0%
4.3%
11.1%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.5%
No
89.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.